The folks over at Ballotpedia.com have been tracking California recalls for the last few years, and they show some interesting historical data on local city council races.
For example, of the 35 city councilmembers put on the ballot for recall since 2007, 32 were successfully removed from office.
San Jacinto: Stubblefield, Mansperger, Potts and Ayres
Hughson: Thom Crowder, Doug Humphreys and Ben Manley
Dunsmuir: Peter Arth and Mario Rubino
Livingston: Daniel Varela and Martha Nateras
Montebello: Kathy Salazar and Robert Urteaga
Mission Viejo: Lance MacLean
Poway: Betty Rexford
Lake Elsinore: Thomas Buckley
That’s a 91% success rate for Californians who’ve sought to toss crummy councilmembers out of office mid-term. And only one of those cities had a recall preceded by a media storm as intense as Fullerton’s…that was the infamous city of Bell.
So I’d say things are looking up for the people of Fullerton. Still, I’ve got a hunch that the boys in the Recall mailroom will leave nothing to chance.